Main Article Content
In this work, we propose scalable models of variable order for the intensity of the winds in the city of Brasília - DF. This means that, in order to predict the intensity of the wind on a given day, we consider the history of intensities from the previous days. The number of days required to make a forecast depends on the history of the wind intensities in that city. Initially, we considered the perfect measurements of the average wind speed in the city of Brasília corresponding to the period from 21/08/1961 to 7/15/2019. Through this data set, we can indicate the chances of a certain number of strong days or not. Then, the dividends are applied in two parts, one corresponding to the period before 2000 and the other associated to the period after this milestone. Estimates of the variable order models corresponding to these two periods, were shown when there was a change in the wind regime in the city of Brasília in recent years.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).